Journal of Clinical Medicine Research, ISSN 1918-3003 print, 1918-3011 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, J Clin Med Res and Elmer Press Inc
Journal website https://www.jocmr.org

Original Article

Volume 16, Number 5, May 2024, pages 208-219


Updated Bivalent COVID-19 Vaccines Reduce Risk of Hospitalization and Severe Outcomes in Adults: An Observational Cohort Study

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1. Flow figure of inclusion and exclusion criteria. Flow figure of encounters screened for eligibility, encounters excluded from the study, and vaccination categorization.
Figure 2.
Figure 2. Probability differences in composite outcomes and hospital admission by vaccination status, adjusted for baseline risk factors. Predictions are based on logistic regression models. Unadjusted model does not control for any covariate, adjusted age/Elix controls for age and Elixhauser comorbidity index and fully adjusted further controls for sex, race pre-existing end-stage renal disease and if the patient was immunocompromised. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Point estimates represent the difference in marginal effects of vaccination status on (a) composite outcome with boosted being the reference and (b) probability of hospital admission with boosted being the reference.
Figure 3.
Figure 3. The number of cases meeting inclusion criteria group by predominant coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) variant.

Tables

Table 1. Demographics, Comorbidities, Initial Vital Signs, In-Hospital Therapies, and Outcomes of All Patients
 
VariablesaAllUnvaccinatedVaccinatedBoostedBivalent boostedP value
aFor continuous variables, medians (interquartile ranges (IQRs)) and means (standard deviation (SD)) were presented. For categorical variables, frequencies (percentage) were presented. ICU: intensive care unit.
N21,4399,630 (44.9%)9,223 (43.0%)2,180 (10.2%)406 (1.9%)
Demographics
  Age, years
    Mean48.8 (26.6)37.8 (26.5)58.9 (21.3)66.2 (18.7)72.3 (14.3)< 0.001
    Median52 (29, 71)35 (17, 59)62 (43, 76)70 (56, 80)73 (65, 82)
  Sex
    Female12,777 (59.6)5,762 (59.8)5,562 (60.3)1,248 (57.2)205 (50.5)< 0.001
    Male8,662 (40.4)3,868 (40.2)3,661 (39.7)932 (42.8)201 (49.5)
  Race
    Black or African American7,034 (32.8)3,927 (40.8)2,533 (27.5)498 (22.8)76 (18.7)< 0.001
    White or Caucasian13,109 (61.1)5,182 (53.8)6,063 (65.7)1,553 (71.2)311 (76.6)
    Other1,296 (6.0)521 (5.4)627 (6.8)129 (5.9)19 (4.7)
  Body mass index, kg/m2
    Mean29.5 (8.4)29.4 (8.9)29.8 (8.1)29.0 (7.4)29.0 (8.3)< 0.001
    Median28.2 (23.6, 34)28.1 (23.1, 34.1)28.4 (24.1, 34.1)27.6 (23.7, 33.1)27.5 (23.5, 3.5)
Comorbidities
  Immunocompromised2,749 (12.8)917 (9.5)1,365 (14.8)404 (18.5)63 (15.5)< 0.001
  Pre-existing end-stage renal disease694 (3.2)194 (2.0)358 (3.9)133 (6.1)9 (2.2)< 0.001
  Elixhauser weighted score
    Mean3.17 (3.3)2.2 (2.9)4.0 (3.5)4.8 (3.6)5.1 (3.5)< 0.001
    Median2 (0,5)1 (0,3)3 (1,6)4 (2,7)5 (2,8)
  Elixhauser, category
    03,947 (18.4)2,438 (25.3)1,284 (13.9)202 (9.3)23 (5.7)< 0.001
    1 to 26,192 (28.9)3,192 (33.1)2,425 (26.3)481 (22.1)94 (23.2)
    3 to 44,279 (20.0)1,744 (18.1)1,968 (21.3)486 (22.3)81 (20.0)
    ≥ 57,021 (32.7)2,256 (23.4)3,546 (38.4)1,011 (46.4)208 (51.2)
Initial vital signs
  Respiratory rate, breaths per minute
    < 3021,041 (98.2)9,467 (98.4)9,042 (98.1)2,134 (97.9)398 (98.0)0.282
    ≥ 30381 (1.8)153 (1.6)175 (1.9)45 (2.1)8 (2.0)
  Pulse, beats per minute
    < 9010,451 (48.8)4,304 (44.7)4,656 (50.5)1,237 (56.8)254 (62.6)< 0.001
    ≥ 9010,976 (51.2)5,318 (55.3)4,564 (49.5)942 (43.2)152 (37.4)
  Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
    < 90261 (1.2)87 (0.9)127 (1.4)42 (1.9)5 (1.2)< 0.001
    ≥ 9021,161 (98.8)9,533 (99.1)9,090 (98.6)2,137 (98.1)401 (98.8)
  Temperature, °C
    < 36442 (2.1)159 (1.7)229 (2.5)48 (2.2)6 (1.5)< 0.001
    36 - 3819,033 (89.0)8,502 (88.4)8,177 (88.9)1,991 (91.5)363 (89.6)
    > 381,921 (9.0)952 (9.9)796 (8.7)137 (6.3)36 (8.9)
  Blood oxygen saturation, %
    < 90588 (2.7)277 (2.9)247 (2.7)56 (2.6)8 (2.0)0.582
    ≥ 9020,836 (97.3)9,345 (97.1)8,970 (97.3)2,123 (97.4)398 (98.0)
In-hospital therapies
  O2 therapy5,618 (26.2)2,131 (22.1)2,623 (28.4)713 (32.7)151 (37.2)< 0.001
  Nasal cannula/non-rebreather4,008 (18.7)1,463 (15.2)1,922 (20.8)506 (23.2)117 (28.8)< 0.001
  High-flow O2556 (2.6)255 (2.6)231 (2.5)57 (2.6)13 (3.2)0.801
  Non-mechanical ventilation593 (2.8)211 (2.2)276 (3.0)94 (4.3)12 (3.0)< 0.001
  Vasopressor598 (2.8)230 (2.4)269 (2.9)84 (3.9)15 (3.7)0.001
Primary outcome
  Composite severe disease1,178 (5.5)477 (5.0)530 (5.7)152 (7.0)19 (4.7)0.001
  ICU-level care1,015 (4.7)405 (4.2)453 (4.9)139 (6.4)18 (4.4)< 0.001
  Mechanical ventilation461 (2.2)202 (2.1)194 (2.1)56 (2.6)9 (2.2)0.563
  Death416 (1.9)178 (1.8)183 (2.0)48 (2.2)7 (1.7)0.705
Secondary outcomes
  Hospital admission9,390 (43.8)3,543 (36.8)4,366 (47.3)1,246 (57.2)235 (57.9)< 0.001
  Length of stay, h
    Mean172.1 (170.0)183.0 (176.2)167.3 (170.0)171.2 (164.3)147.0 (128.7)< 0.001
    Median122 (72, 212)127, (76, 233)121 (71, 200)121 (71, 216)101 (64, 171)

 

Table 2. Demographics, Comorbidities, Initial Vital Signs, In-Hospital Therapies, and Outcomes of Admitted Patients
 
VariablesaAllUnvaccinatedVaccinatedBoostedBivalent boostedP value
aFor continuous variables, medians (interquartile ranges (IQRs)) and means (standard deviation (SD)) were presented. For categorical variables, frequencies (percentage) were presented. ICU: intensive care unit.
N9,3903,543 (37.7%)4,366 (46.5%)1,246 (13.3%)235 (2.5%)
Demographics
  Age, years
    Mean67.9 (17.5)63.0 (18.9)70.0 (16.3)72.7 (15.0)76.6 (11.8)< 0.001
    Median71 (58, 81)65 (50, 78)72 (61, 82)74 (65, 84)78 (69, 85)
  Sex
    Female5,101 (54.3)1,968 (55.5)2,359 (54.0)662 (53.1)112 (47.7)0.066
    Male4,289 (45.7)1,575 (44.5)2,007 (46.0)584 (46.9)123 (52.3)
  Race
    Black or African American2,325 (24.8)1,062 (30.0)965 (22.1)255 (20.5)43 (18.3)< 0.001
    White or Caucasian6,567 (69.9)2,313 (65.3)3,147 (72.1)927 (74.4)180 (76.6)
    Other498 (5.3)168 (4.7)254 (5.8)64 (5.1)12 (5.1)
  Body mass index, kg/m2
    Mean29.1 (8.4)29.6 (8.9)29.0 (8.3)28.4 (7.3)28.2 (7.8)< 0.004
    Median27.5 (23.4, 33.3)27.9 (23.4, 34)27.5 (23.4, 33.1)27.1 (23.3, 32.4)26.6 (22.9, 32.1)
Comorbidities
  Immunocompromised1,922 (20.5)608 (17.2)977 (22.4)292 (23.4)45 (19.1)< 0.001
  Pre-existing end-stage renal disease583 (6.2)165 (4.7)299 (6.8)110 (8.8)9 (3.8)< 0.001
  Elixhauser weighted score
    Mean5.2 (3.7)4.4 (3.6)5.6 (3.6)5.8 (3.7)5.9 (3.6)< 0.001
    Median5 (2,8)4 (2,7)5 (3,8)6 (3,9)6 (3,9)
  Elixhauser, category
    0852 (9.1)464 (13.1)296 (6.8)77 (6.2)15 (6.4)< 0.001
    1 to 21,821 (19.4)850 (24.0)751 (17.2)184 (14.8)36 (15.3)
    3 to 41,829 (19.5)693 (19.6)849 (19.4)247 (19.8)40 (17.0)
    ≥ 54,888 (52.1)1,536 (43.4)2,470 (56.6)738 (59.2)144 (61.3)
Initial vital signs
  Respiratory rate, breaths per minute
    < 309,037 (96.3)3,398 (95.9)4,209 (96.4)1,203 (96.5)227 (96.6)0.648
    ≥ 30352 (3.7)144 (4.1)157 (3.6)43 (3.5)8 (3.4)
  Pulse, beats per minute
    < 904,849 (51.6)1,649 (46.6)2,325 (53.3)727 (58.3)148 (63.0)< 0.001
    ≥ 904,540 (48.4)1,893 (53.4)2,041 (46.7)519 (41.7)87 (37.0)
  Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg
    < 90233 (2.5)69 (1.9)118 (2.7)41 (3.3)5 (2.1)0.036
    ≥ 909,155 (97.5)3,473 (98.1)4,247 (97.3)1,205 (96.7)230 (97.9)
  Temperature, °C
    < 36283 (3.0)97 (2.7)150 (3.4)31 (2.5)5 (2.1)0.016
    36 - 388,257 (88.0)3,097 (87.5)3,833 (87.8)1,125 (90.3)202 (86.0)
    > 38847 (9.0)347 (9.8)382 (8.8)90 (7.2)28 (11.9)
  Blood O2 saturation, %
    < 90554 (5.9)264 (7.5)227 (5.2)55 (4.4)8 (3.4)< 0.001
    ≥ 908,835 (94.1)3,278 (92.5)4,139 (94.8)1,191 (95.6)227 (96.6)
In-hospital therapies
  O2 therapy5,329 (56.8)2,016 (56.9)2,482 (56.8)691 (55.5)140 (59.6)0.645
  Nasal cannula/non-rebreather3,727 (39.7)1,353 (38.2)1,784 (40.9)484 (38.8)106 (45.1)0.028
  High-flow O2556 (5.9)255 (7.2)231 (5.3)57 (4.6)13 (5.5)< 0.001
  Non-mechanical ventilation588 (6.3)207 (5.8)275 (6.3)94 (7.5)12 (5.1)0.165
  Vasopressor592 (6.3)228 (6.4)265 (6.1)84 (6.7)15 (6.4)0.822
Primary outcome
  Composite severe disease1,164 (12.4)472 (13.3)521 (11.9)152 (12.2)19 (8.1)0.052
  ICU-level care1,015 (10.8)405 (11.4)453 (10.4)139 (11.2)18 (7.7)0.183
  Mechanical ventilation458 (4.9)201 (5.7)192 (4.4)56 (4.5)9 (3.8)0.047
  Death404 (4.3)174 (4.9)175 (4.0)48 (3.9)7 (3.0)0.126